Havadar 2-1 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.11
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.05
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.52/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.97
-49% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.08.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar squeezed past Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Havadar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Havadar 2-1 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havadar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Havadar 37%, draw 30%, Shams Azar Qazvin 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havadar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havadar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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