Santa Fe 3-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Feb 2024

Santa Fe
3-0 HT 2-0
Junior
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Junior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.17/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.20
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.4 Crosses 13.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santa Fe vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Junior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
229 Passes 328
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.03.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
24.11.2022 Junior Junior 2-3 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
24.07.2022 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.05.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK
21.04.2022 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK

Santa Fe 3-0 Junior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
3-0
AWAY Junior
1.97 xG 1.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
225 Passes 415
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe swept aside Junior 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 39% of the ball to Junior's 61%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.97 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Junior?

Santa Fe 3-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 43%, draw 28%, Junior 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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