Arabi 1-1 Kazma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait Super Cup, 22 Feb 2024

Arabi
1-1 HT 1-1
Kazma
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.51
Over 2.5
46%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
5.43
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
20%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.43 — our 33% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
36%
+18.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
64%
-18.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.0pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazma EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kazma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 7
03.05.2023 Kazma Kazma 2-2 HT 2-0 Arabi KUVEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
1-1
AWAY Kazma
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Kazma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi and Kazma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arabi had 55% of the ball to Kazma's 45%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Kazma?

Arabi 1-1 Kazma in the Kuwait Super Cup on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Kazma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arabi 44%, draw 28%, Kazma 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arabi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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