Celje 4-1 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.62
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.73/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.54
-16% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -23%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rogaska
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 0-4 HT 0-3 Celje Celje SLVN
13.08.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 0-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
4-1
AWAY Rogaska
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celje vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje swept aside Rogaska 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 60% of the ball to Rogaska's 40%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Celje and 0.00 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Celje vs Rogaska?

Celje 4-1 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Celje 66%, draw 20%, Rogaska 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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