Cerro 1-1 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 22 Feb 2024

Cerro
1-1 HT 0-0
Centro Atletico Fenix
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uruguay Cup – 2023

Cerro vs Centro Atletico Fenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro v Centro Atletico Fenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cerro vs Centro Atletico Fenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
17.06.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
21.03.2023 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.02.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 3-3 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
20.08.2020 Cerro Cerro 2-2 HT 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
24.10.2019 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU

Cerro 1-1 Centro Atletico Fenix — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Centro Atletico Fenix couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cerro had 50% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro and 1.00 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Cerro 1-1 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay Cup on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cerro 37%, draw 28%, Centro Atletico Fenix 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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