Incheon United 2-0 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
Crosses 14.1
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
24.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 3-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
30.11.2019 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-0
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
434 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Gyeongnam FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Incheon United had 60% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 40%, shots finished 24-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Incheon United and 0.00 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gyeongnam FC?

Incheon United 2-0 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 49%, draw 28%, Gyeongnam FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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