Club Guarani 1-3 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 71%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-3
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta saw off Club Guarani 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Recoleta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Guarani had 46% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 54%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Club Guarani 1-3 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 40%, draw 31%, Deportivo Recoleta 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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