AZ (K) 2-3 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.65/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.36
-35% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -34%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 481 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.6 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
264 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
29.03.2025 AZ (K) AZ (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
17.11.2024 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-1 HT 2-1 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
31.03.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 3-3 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ (K)
2-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
366 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) nicked a narrow win over AZ (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, AZ (K) had 54% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 46%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ (K) and 2.50 for PSV Eindhoven (K).

What was the final score of AZ (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

AZ (K) 2-3 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AZ (K) 17%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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