Hradec Kralove II 2-4 FK Pardubice II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - 3rd Division MSFL, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice II EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.36/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Pardubice II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2022 FK Pardubice II FK Pardubice II 1-1 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove II Hradec Kralove II ÇEK3
12.09.2021 Hradec Kralove II Hradec Kralove II 1-4 HT 0-3 FK Pardubice II FK Pardubice II ÇEK3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove II
2-4
AWAY FK Pardubice II
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove II vs FK Pardubice II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice II got the better of Hradec Kralove II 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hradec Kralove II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hradec Kralove II had 51% of the ball to FK Pardubice II's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hradec Kralove II and 2.50 for FK Pardubice II.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove II vs FK Pardubice II?

Hradec Kralove II 2-4 FK Pardubice II in the Czech Republic - 3rd Division MSFL on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove II vs FK Pardubice II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove II 41%, draw 25%, FK Pardubice II 34%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hradec Kralove II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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