Sestri Levante 3-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2024

Sestri Levante
3-1 HT 1-1
Gubbio
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Sestri Levante vs Gubbio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sestri Levante v Gubbio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.91/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.77
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Sestri Levante vs Gubbio Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 5-2 HT 1-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC

Sestri Levante 3-1 Gubbio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
3-1
AWAY Gubbio
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante saw off Gubbio 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Sestri Levante made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 42% of the ball to Gubbio's 58%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Gubbio?

Sestri Levante 3-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 35%, draw 26%, Gubbio 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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