San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

San Lorenzo
1-0 HT 0-0
Godoy Cruz
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

San Lorenzo vs Godoy Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.38
Over 2.5
29%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
14%
6.94
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
10%
5.54
X/X
20%
3.28
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.63
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.7pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
71%
Under 2.5
69%
+2.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
31%
-2.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.0pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Lorenzo v Godoy Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.36
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.3 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

San Lorenzo vs Godoy Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.44 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
11.02.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
04.10.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
31.10.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
02.05.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
27.07.2019 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 3-2 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ

San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-0
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.69 xG 0.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
213 Passes 347
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo edged past Godoy Cruz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; San Lorenzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 40% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 60%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.69 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.50 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Godoy Cruz?

San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 30%, draw 35%, Godoy Cruz 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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