22/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
47%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
30%
25%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Voitsberg v Gleisdorf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Voitsberg
The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gleisdorf
The Market 50%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
+31%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
312 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.8
Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Voitsberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Gleisdorf
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Voitsberg and Gleisdorf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Voitsberg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf?
Voitsberg 1-1 Gleisdorf in the Austria - Regional League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Voitsberg vs Gleisdorf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Voitsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Voitsberg 45%, draw 25%, Gleisdorf 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Voitsberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Voitsberg)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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22 Mar 2024