Marienlyst 2-2 Horsens II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark Serisi - Grup 3, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.53
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
44%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Marienlyst win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marienlyst The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsens II The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marienlyst
2-2
AWAY Horsens II
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Marienlyst vs Horsens II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marienlyst and Horsens II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marienlyst at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Marienlyst had 48% of the ball to Horsens II's 52%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Marienlyst vs Horsens II?

Marienlyst 2-2 Horsens II in the Denmark Serisi - Grup 3 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marienlyst vs Horsens II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marienlyst win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Marienlyst 56%, draw 18%, Horsens II 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Marienlyst) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marienlyst) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →