Lyon II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon II v Espaly-Saint-Marcel — Team-Based Signals
Lyon II 2-3 Espaly-Saint-Marcel — Actual Match Statistics
Espaly-Saint-Marcel edged past Lyon II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Lyon II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lyon II had 56% of the ball to Espaly-Saint-Marcel's 44%, shots finished 9-20.
What was the final score of Lyon II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel?
Lyon II 2-3 Espaly-Saint-Marcel in the France - National League 3 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lyon II 44%, draw 20%, Espaly-Saint-Marcel 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon II) went the other way.