Ammanford 1-3 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 58%
+16% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.73/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/0.92
+26% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
26.12.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
10.03.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
12.08.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
30.04.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 5-0 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town got the better of Ammanford 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ammanford and 0.75 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Llanelli Town?

Ammanford 1-3 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 22%, draw 27%, Llanelli Town 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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