22/03/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Jam City FC vs Gambian Dutch Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
46%
29%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jam City FC v Gambian Dutch Lions — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jam City FC
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gambian Dutch Lions
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
398 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
374 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jam City FC vs Gambian Dutch Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jam City FC nicked a narrow win over Gambian Dutch Lions 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Jam City FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Jam City FC vs Gambian Dutch Lions?
Jam City FC 1-0 Gambian Dutch Lions in the Gambiya - GFA League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jam City FC vs Gambian Dutch Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jam City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jam City FC 41%, draw 29%, Gambian Dutch Lions 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jam City FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Jam City FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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