22/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Madagaskar vs Burundi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
27%
Draw
31%
31%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madagaskar v Burundi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Madagaskar
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Burundi
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
261 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
351 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Madagaskar vs Burundi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Madagaskar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Burundi
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
0.79
xG
0.87
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
5
250
Passes
275
73%
Pass Accuracy
75%
14
Box Touches
15
17
Crosses
26
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
27.06.2019
Madagaskar
1-0
HT 0-0
Burundi
AFUK
1-0
HT 0-0
Burundi
AFUK
POST-MATCH
Madagaskar vs Burundi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Madagaskar edged past Burundi 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Madagaskar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Burundi?
Madagaskar 1-0 Burundi in the Friendlies - Türk Takımları on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Burundi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Madagaskar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 42%, draw 27%, Burundi 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madagaskar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Madagaskar)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZTUR
More Friendlies - Türk Takımları
22 Mar 2024