Burnley U21 3-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 22 Mar 2024

Burnley U21
3-1 HT 2-1
AFC Bournemouth U21
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Burnley U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.35
No
50%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
33%
+7.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
70%
-19.8pp
50%
BTTS No
30%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley U21 v AFC Bournemouth U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.35/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.99
+36% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 beat AFC Bournemouth U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Burnley U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Burnley U21 3-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 41%, draw 21%, AFC Bournemouth U21 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5
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