UNAN Managua 0-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.79/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.36
+12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Jalapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.03.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
05.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.10.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-2 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
24.07.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 3-3 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
10.02.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
0-1
AWAY Jalapa
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa edged past UNAN Managua 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Jalapa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 50% of the ball to Jalapa's 50%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.00 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

UNAN Managua 0-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 40%, draw 32%, Jalapa 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ Over 2.5
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