22/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
28%
Draw
27%
26%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gedania Gdansk v Luzino — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gedania Gdansk
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Luzino
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-36% /
-36%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-28%
/
-9%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
372 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gedania Gdansk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Luzino
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
65%
Ball Possession
35%
18
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
The Meetings
27.08.2023
Luzino
1-2
HT 1-1
Gedania Gdansk
POL3
1-2
HT 1-1
Gedania Gdansk
POL3
POST-MATCH
Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gedania Gdansk and Luzino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gedania Gdansk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino?
Gedania Gdansk 1-1 Luzino in the Poland - 3rd Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gedania Gdansk vs Luzino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gedania Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gedania Gdansk 46%, draw 28%, Luzino 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gedania Gdansk) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gedania Gdansk)
✓ Under 2.5
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