22/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al-Washm vs Najran Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
12%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
30%
26%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Washm v Najran — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Washm
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Najran
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
349 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
329 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Washm vs Najran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Washm saw off Najran 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al-Washm as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Al-Washm vs Najran?
Al-Washm 2-0 Najran in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Washm vs Najran?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Washm win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al-Washm 46%, draw 27%, Najran 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Washm), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al-Washm)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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