Polonya U20 1-5 İngiltere U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İngiltere U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
196 Passes 590
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.03.2019 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 1-3 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 U20EL
22.03.2018 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 0-1 HT 0-0 İngiltere U20 İngiltere U20 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya U20
1-5
AWAY İngiltere U20
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonya U20 vs İngiltere U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U20 swept aside Polonya U20 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İngiltere U20 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Polonya U20 had 24% of the ball to İngiltere U20's 76%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Polonya U20 and 1.00 for İngiltere U20.

What was the final score of Polonya U20 vs İngiltere U20?

Polonya U20 1-5 İngiltere U20 in the U20 Elit League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya U20 vs İngiltere U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polonya U20 26%, draw 33%, İngiltere U20 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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