Flatirons Rush 1-2 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
34%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
22%
+16.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
34%
Away Win
55%
-21.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flatirons Rush EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flatirons Rush
1-2
AWAY Union Omaha
0.19 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
363 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
4 Box Touches 7
4 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flatirons Rush vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past Flatirons Rush 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Union Omaha found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Flatirons Rush had 56% of the ball to Union Omaha's 44%, shots finished 3-4, expected goals 0.19 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Flatirons Rush vs Union Omaha?

Flatirons Rush 1-2 Union Omaha in the USA - Open Cup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flatirons Rush vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flatirons Rush win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Flatirons Rush 39%, draw 27%, Union Omaha 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flatirons Rush) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flatirons Rush) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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