Meppen 1-1 Todesfelde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Meppen win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.33/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.98
+10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Todesfelde
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.09.2024 Todesfelde 0-0 HT 0-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen and Todesfelde shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Meppen at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Todesfelde?

Meppen 1-1 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Todesfelde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Meppen 57%, draw 22%, Todesfelde 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meppen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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