FC Nantes (K) 2-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
0.53/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.53
-100% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +65%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
203 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.0 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nantes (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.46 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
279 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nantes (K)
2-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
2.31 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
245 Passes 298
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nantes (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nantes (K) and Montpellier (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nantes (K) had 45% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.31 to 1.87.

What was the final score of FC Nantes (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

FC Nantes (K) 2-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nantes (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Nantes (K) 25%, draw 23%, Montpellier (K) 53%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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