Utrecht (K) 1-2 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+13.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-8.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+8.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.8pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY AZ (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
03.03.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
1-2
AWAY AZ (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
365 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) squeezed past Utrecht (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day AZ (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 54% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 46%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Utrecht (K) and 0.50 for AZ (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Utrecht (K) 1-2 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 39%, draw 23%, AZ (K) 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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