Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.27/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.49
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense and Deportivo Recoleta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 57%, shots finished 15-17.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 37%, draw 30%, Deportivo Recoleta 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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