Polonya U19 0-1 Karadağ U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Polonya U19 win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya U19 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
3.14/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.54
+63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya U19
0-1
AWAY Karadağ U19
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Polonya U19 vs Karadağ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ U19 nicked a narrow win over Polonya U19 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Polonya U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Polonya U19 had 60% of the ball to Karadağ U19's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Polonya U19 vs Karadağ U19?

Polonya U19 0-1 Karadağ U19 in the European U19 on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya U19 vs Karadağ U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Polonya U19 59%, draw 24%, Karadağ U19 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Polonya U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonya U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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