Sestao River 4-0 Mutilvera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.32
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
+0.7pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.8pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.95/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.66
+2% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
448 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Mutilvera
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Mutilvera Mutilvera 0-2 HT 0-2 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
18.03.2023 Mutilvera Mutilvera 1-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
29.10.2022 Sestao River Sestao River 2-0 HT 1-0 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
30.04.2022 Sestao River Sestao River 3-0 HT 1-0 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
11.12.2021 Mutilvera Mutilvera 1-1 HT 1-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
4-0
AWAY Mutilvera
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Mutilvera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River swept aside Mutilvera 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sestao River as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Sestao River had 57% of the ball to Mutilvera's 43%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sestao River had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sestao River and 0.40 for Mutilvera.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Mutilvera?

Sestao River 4-0 Mutilvera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Mutilvera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 72%, draw 16%, Mutilvera 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sestao River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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