Chacarita Juniors 0-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.18
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
42%
+11.3pp
23%
Draw
31%
-8.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -30%
1.25/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.31
+13% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
15.10.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
03.12.2019 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela squeezed past Chacarita Juniors 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chacarita Juniors at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.00 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela?

Chacarita Juniors 0-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 53%, draw 23%, Atletico Rafaela 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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