Kopenhag 1-2 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.89
Over 2.5
67%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.23
2-3 Goals
35%
2.09
4-5 Goals
30%
2.43
6+ Goals
18%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
17.1
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
7%
14.9
X/X
10%
8.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
18.15
2/2
7%
10.9
2/X
5%
19.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.15 — our 6% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
31%
+2.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
69%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.7pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.43
-8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.0 Crosses 11.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
2W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
546 Passes 294
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN
01.08.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-2 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
08.07.2025 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia HAZ
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia edged past Kopenhag 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Kopenhag carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kopenhag had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kopenhag and 1.00 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs FC Fredericia?

Kopenhag 1-2 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - Süperlig on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 63%, draw 19%, FC Fredericia 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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