Busan I Park 3-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 22 Mar 2026

Busan I Park
3-1 HT 1-0
Daegu
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Busan I Park vs Daegu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busan I Park v Daegu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.32/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.8 Crosses 28.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Busan I Park vs Daegu Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Daegu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.50 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 328
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.07.2020 Daegu Daegu 3-0 HT 2-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
17.06.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK

Busan I Park 3-1 Daegu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
3-1
AWAY Daegu
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
190 Passes 448
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park saw off Daegu 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Busan I Park had 33% of the ball to Daegu's 67%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Busan I Park and 2.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Daegu?

Busan I Park 3-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 34%, draw 28%, Daegu 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daegu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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