NAC Breda (K) 2-3 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 22 Mar 2026

NAC Breda (K)
2-3 HT 1-0
Ajax (K)
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

NAC Breda (K) vs Ajax (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
81%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
63%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
5%
+4.9pp
10%
Draw
8%
+2.2pp
81%
Away Win
88%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NAC Breda (K) v Ajax (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.03/3.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.04
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -12%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.9 Crosses 20.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.9

NAC Breda (K) vs Ajax (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajax (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 12
142 Passes 451
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 NAC Breda (K) NAC Breda (K) HOLK1

NAC Breda (K) 2-3 Ajax (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda (K)
2-3
AWAY Ajax (K)
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 21
73 Passes 345
42% Pass Accuracy 80%
5 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NAC Breda (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) squeezed past NAC Breda (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, NAC Breda (K) had 30% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 70%, shots finished 11-23.

What was the final score of NAC Breda (K) vs Ajax (K)?

NAC Breda (K) 2-3 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda (K) 9%, draw 10%, Ajax (K) 81%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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