Ajka 1-0 Bekescsaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bekescsaba EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
0.96/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.32
-30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bekescsaba
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Bekescsaba Bekescsaba 0-2 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
16.02.2025 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-0 Bekescsaba Bekescsaba MAC2
04.12.2022 Bekescsaba Bekescsaba 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
09.03.2022 Bekescsaba Bekescsaba 3-2 HT 0-2 Ajka Ajka MAC2
15.09.2021 Ajka Ajka 2-1 HT 1-0 Bekescsaba Bekescsaba MAC2
31.01.2021 Bekescsaba Bekescsaba 0-3 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-0
AWAY Bekescsaba
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Bekescsaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Bekescsaba 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajka had 42% of the ball to Bekescsaba's 58%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ajka and 0.83 for Bekescsaba.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Bekescsaba?

Ajka 1-0 Bekescsaba in the Hungary - NB II on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Bekescsaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajka 44%, draw 29%, Bekescsaba 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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