MTK II 1-0 Kaposvari Rakoczi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaposvari Rakoczi EU Bookmakers 50%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/4.00
+53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -65%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK II
1-0
AWAY Kaposvari Rakoczi
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH MTK II vs Kaposvari Rakoczi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK II nicked a narrow win over Kaposvari Rakoczi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kaposvari Rakoczi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK II had 36% of the ball to Kaposvari Rakoczi's 64%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of MTK II vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

MTK II 1-0 Kaposvari Rakoczi in the Hungary - NB III on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK II vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaposvari Rakoczi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MTK II 31%, draw 23%, Kaposvari Rakoczi 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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