Penzügyör 4-1 Dombovari FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penzügyör EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dombovari FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Penzügyör vs Dombovari FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penzügyör cruised past Dombovari FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Penzügyör as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Penzügyör vs Dombovari FC?

Penzügyör 4-1 Dombovari FC in the Hungary - NB III on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penzügyör vs Dombovari FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penzügyör win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Penzügyör 48%, draw 24%, Dombovari FC 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penzügyör), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penzügyör) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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