Msaken 4-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.56/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.71
-33% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Msaken
4-1
AWAY Ben Guerdane
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Msaken vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken swept aside Ben Guerdane 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Msaken found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Msaken had 43% of the ball to Ben Guerdane's 57%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Msaken vs Ben Guerdane?

Msaken 4-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - Cup on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Msaken 27%, draw 33%, Ben Guerdane 40%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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