Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2024

Guangzhou Evergrande
2-1 HT 1-1
Wuxi Wugou
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Guangzhou Evergrande vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.47
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 31% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guangzhou Evergrande v Wuxi Wugou — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.33/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.23
-31% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
23.5 Crosses 17.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Guangzhou Evergrande vs Wuxi Wugou Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
227 Passes 140
62% Pass Accuracy 52%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.10.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 1-1 HT 0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2

Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1 Wuxi Wugou — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
2-1
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
0.87 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
401 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande nicked a narrow win over Wuxi Wugou 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guangzhou Evergrande as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangzhou Evergrande had 61% of the ball to Wuxi Wugou's 39%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 0.87 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wuxi Wugou led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guangzhou Evergrande and 1.50 for Wuxi Wugou.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Wuxi Wugou?

Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 47%, draw 23%, Wuxi Wugou 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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