Örebro 3-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 Apr 2024

Örebro
3-1 HT 1-0
Varbergs
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örebro vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.91
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
12%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
12%
5.33
X/X
11%
4.17
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.8
2/X
4%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Örebro 3-1 Varbergs — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
3-1
AWAY Varbergs
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro got the better of Varbergs 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Örebro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Örebro had 49% of the ball to Varbergs's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Varbergs?

Örebro 3-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örebro 39%, draw 27%, Varbergs 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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