Cartagena 2-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.13
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
17%
5.81
X/2
9%
5.0
X/X
13%
3.63
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.67
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.27/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.01
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.1 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
17.02.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
02.10.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 0-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
03.04.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
12.09.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
06.02.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
2-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
2.22 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
335 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena got the better of Real Oviedo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cartagena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cartagena had 49% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 51%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.22 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cartagena and 1.17 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Real Oviedo?

Cartagena 2-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 40%, draw 26%, Real Oviedo 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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