Bayern München (K) 3-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.89
Over 2.5
48%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-20.4pp
22%
Draw
10%
+11.6pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
31%
+20.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
69%
-20.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.37/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.35
+15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +85%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.7 Crosses 14.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
3-0
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.99 xG 0.95
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
427 Passes 229
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) cruised past Werder Bremen (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 61% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 39%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.99 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Bayern München (K) 3-0 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 62%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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