PSIS Semarang 2-1 Cilegon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
53%
-16.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cilegon United EU Bookmakers 27%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.06/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.86
+18% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIS Semarang
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cilegon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
329 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
16.01.2023 Cilegon United Cilegon United 0-1 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
23.07.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-1 HT 0-0 Cilegon United Cilegon United ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs Cilegon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIS Semarang nicked a narrow win over Cilegon United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day PSIS Semarang made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSIS Semarang had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PSIS Semarang and 0.50 for Cilegon United.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs Cilegon United?

PSIS Semarang 2-1 Cilegon United in the Indonesia League 1 on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs Cilegon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSIS Semarang win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 37%, draw 29%, Cilegon United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIS Semarang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSIS Semarang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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