Linfield FC 1-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

Linfield FC
1-1 HT 1-1
Larne FC
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2023/2024

Linfield FC vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 34% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.47
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
15%
5.87
X/X
14%
4.32
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.18
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Linfield FC v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
0.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
-42% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Linfield FC vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
11.11.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
21.04.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
07.03.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL

Linfield FC 1-1 Larne FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
1-1
AWAY Larne FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC and Larne FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Linfield FC had 58% of the ball to Larne FC's 42%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Linfield FC and 1.33 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Larne FC?

Linfield FC 1-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 33%, draw 29%, Larne FC 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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