Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Apr 2024

Cruz Azul
2-2 HT 1-2
Atlas
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Cruz Azul vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 31% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.0pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruz Azul v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.94/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.58
-15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.9 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cruz Azul vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.07.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
07.05.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
23.02.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
17.07.2022 Atlas Atlas 3-2 HT 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
03.04.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
20.10.2021 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK

Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-2
AWAY Atlas
3.30 xG 2.61
68% Ball Possession 32%
29 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
457 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
43 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul and Atlas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Cruz Azul carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 68% of the ball to Atlas's 32%, shots finished 29-14, expected goals 3.30 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atlas?

Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 62%, draw 21%, Atlas 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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