Masr 3-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 32%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +16%
0.63/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.22
+13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.4 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
2W-2D-0L
AWAY El Gounah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.59 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
234 Passes 172
68% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
22.08.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
03.12.2019 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSRK
17.10.2019 Masr 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
3-0
AWAY El Gounah
1.57 xG 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
385 Passes 259
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Masr vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr cruised past El Gounah 3-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Masr found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Masr had 57% of the ball to El Gounah's 43%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.57 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Masr and 0.00 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Masr vs El Gounah?

Masr 3-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Masr 38%, draw 29%, El Gounah 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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