Eik Toensberg 4-3 Viking Stavanger II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.43
Over
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
27%
5.15
2-3
37%
1.96
4-5
26%
2.73
6+
10%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.15 — our 27% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eik Toensberg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking Stavanger II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Eik Toensberg vs Viking Stavanger II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eik Toensberg edged past Viking Stavanger II 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eik Toensberg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Eik Toensberg vs Viking Stavanger II?

Eik Toensberg 4-3 Viking Stavanger II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eik Toensberg vs Viking Stavanger II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eik Toensberg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eik Toensberg 43%, draw 26%, Viking Stavanger II 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eik Toensberg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eik Toensberg) ✗ Under 2.5
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