Sivasspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.0
1/2
10%
22.3
1/X
7%
20.25
X/1
6%
16.6
X/2
20%
3.56
X/X
9%
6.93
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.61
2/X
6%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-11.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.66/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.84
+32% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 81%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.3
18.7 Crosses 20.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-1 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
24.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
03.05.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
29.04.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-3 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
07.11.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.01.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
2-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
278 Passes 568
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor and Fenerbahçe shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fenerbahçe at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sivasspor had 36% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 64%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sivasspor and 2.00 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Sivasspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 19%, draw 22%, Fenerbahçe 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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