Sur 3-1 Al Seeb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 22 Apr 2024

Sur
3-1 HT 1-1
Al Seeb
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sur EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Seeb EU Bookmakers 70%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.24/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.79
+75% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sur
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Seeb
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
11.10.2023 Al Seeb Al Seeb 1-0 Sur Sur UMM
15.02.2023 Sur Sur 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Seeb Al Seeb UMM
30.08.2022 Al Seeb Al Seeb 2-1 HT 1-1 Sur Sur UMM
10.02.2022 Al Seeb Al Seeb 3-0 Sur Sur UMMSK
19.01.2022 Sur Sur 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Seeb Al Seeb UMMSK
POST-MATCH Sur vs Al Seeb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sur beat Al Seeb 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Seeb at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Seeb led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Sur and 1.40 for Al Seeb.

What was the final score of Sur vs Al Seeb?

Sur 3-1 Al Seeb in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sur vs Al Seeb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Seeb win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sur 19%, draw 26%, Al Seeb 55%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Seeb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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