Novorizontino 1-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.42
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.25/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.30
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
24.3 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Criciuma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.19 xG 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
290 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
22.07.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
14.08.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
01.05.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
28.08.2021 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BRE3
27.06.2021 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Criciuma
1.12 xG 0.77
77% Ball Possession 23%
24 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
530 Passes 116
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 9
49 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Criciuma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 77% of the ball to Criciuma's 23%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.12 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novorizontino and 0.50 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Criciuma?

Novorizontino 1-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 49%, draw 28%, Criciuma 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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