Mebrat Hayl 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.54
Over
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.50/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.73
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-0 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
0-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance beat Mebrat Hayl 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 39% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 61%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Mebrat Hayl 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 21%, draw 29%, Ethiopian Insurance 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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